Planeación por escenarios en la FAC

Authors

  • Mikell Ibarra Fernández Universidad Nacional de Colombia

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.18667/cienciaypoderaereo.78

Abstract

The future has always been the object of study when we try to guarantee our survival, because knowing the future undoubtedly gives us an unsurpassable advantage over others and the environment. lt is impossible to guess the future but it is possible to analyze the past and present to try to discover the evolution of the history. Prospective believes that the future is explained from  the present, and this in turn from the past. This relation allows us to build our tomorrow, through the analysis of social, economic, cultural, environmental and polítical factors that undoubtedly affect historical development, tanking us to a systemic and complex vision of the world. Prospective makes human beings and their institutions into protagonists of their own history, to build the tomorrow.

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Author Biography

  • Mikell Ibarra Fernández, Universidad Nacional de Colombia

    Ingeniero Mecánico de la Universidad Nacional de Colombia, cuenta con una Maestría en Administración de Empresas con Énfasis en Planeación y una Especialización en Planeación Estratégica y Prospectiva. Se ha desempeñado en cargos corno Ingeniero, Docente y Asesor en Planeación Estrat·égica. Dictó el primer diplomado en Prospectiva quE' la FAC realizó dando como resultado los Escenarios Probables del Conflicto y la FAC para el2016

References

BERGER, Gaston. Phénomenologie du temps et prospective. 18 Edicion. París_ Presses Universitaries de France, 1964, 360 p.

DEJOUVENEL, Bertrand. El arte de la conjetura. 18 edición. Madrid: Rialpe, 1996. 250 p.

GODET, Michel. De la anticipación a la acción. 18 edición, Bogotá: Alfaomega. 1990. 360 p.

GODET, Michel. Manuel de Prospective Stratégique. 18 Edición. Paris: Dunond. 1999 420 p.

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Published

2007-01-01

Issue

Vol. 2 No. 1 (2007): Enero - Diciembre

Section

Logística

License

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How to Cite

Planeación por escenarios en la FAC. (2007). Ciencia Y Poder Aéreo, 2(1), 30-32. https://doi.org/10.18667/cienciaypoderaereo.78